The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI®) rose by 2.9 points to 51.7 in July, indicating growth and an improvement on the two previous months of deterioration (results above 50 points indicate expansion, with higher numbers indicating a stronger rate of expansion).

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Innes Willox, Chief Executive of the national employer association Ai Group, said: "We are seeing a 'two-speed' services sector emerge as businesses contend with labour shortages and rising interest rates. Business & property and personal services grew dramatically in July, while retail & hospitality and logistics fell dramatically. Chronic labour shortages and a super-charged winter spike in absenteeism are large and growing challenges for labour-intensive service industries. And rising interest rates are dampening consumer sentiment, casting a shadow over consumer-facing sectors," Mr Willox said.

Australian PSI® – Key Findings for July 2022:

  • The Australian PSI® indicated mild growth in the services sector in July, following two months of weak results.
  • Uneven dynamics continue to affect the sector. Business & property, personal services and retail & hospitality were up. Logistics and health & community services were significantly down.
  • Three of the services activity indicators were positive and improved, reflecting resilience in some activity, while two contracted.
  • Services capacity utilisation rose slightly to 80.3%, similar to the June result and above the long-term average.
  • Customer demand in some sectors remains robust, but increased input costs, labour shortages and concerns about future demand impacted services businesses in July.

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Seasonally adjusted

Index this month

Change from last month

12- month average

Seasonally adjusted

Index this month

Change from last month

12- month average

Australian PSI®

51.7

2.9

50.2

Business-oriented services

     

Sales

49.3

7.4

50.7

Business & property

53.4

8.9

50.8

Employment

52.4

-2.9

50.4

Logistics

46.3

-8.9

47.9

New Orders

50.6

1.7

50.9

Finance & insurance

na

na

na

Supplier deliveries

47.6

5.9

48.8

       

Finished stocks

64.7

4.3

49.0

Consumer-oriented services

     

Capacity utilisation (%)

80.3

0.3

76.7

Retail trade & hospitality

57.3

-20.7

47.9

Prices and wages

     

Health & education

44.4

-5.6

51.8

Input prices

74.3

5.3

64.3

Personal, recreational & other

61.9

16.3

53.1

Selling prices

63.4

-3.8

49.7

       

Average wages

68.9

1.2

57.4

Australian PSI® (trend)

50.0

-1.3

50.1

Results above 50 points indicate expansion. Data is seasonally adjusted; trend data in the Australian PSI® calculated with a Henderson 13-month filter formula.
na: Results are not available for this sector in this period due to unusually low survey response numbers. All sectors are included in the total results.

NOW AVAILABLE:
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Background: The Ai Group Australian PSI® is a leading indicator of services activity in the Australian economy. It is a seasonally adjusted national composite index based on the diffusion indices for sales, orders/new business, deliveries, inventories and employment with varying weights. An Australian PSI® reading above 50 points indicates that services activity is generally expanding; below 50, that it is declining. The distance from 50 is indicative of the strength of the expansion or decline. Results are based on a sample of around 200 companies each month.

Media Enquiries: Tony Melville: 0419 190 347