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Home Policy and Representation Economics Research Research Notes

Research Notes

Published Name Description
18-Jan-2012 Economics Research Note - Composite Index This Economics Research Note outlines the development of a monthly Ai Group 'composite' index of economic activity. A simple weighted composite index is outlined, covering the three Ai Group performance indices as well proxies for the rural and mining sectors using available monthly data. This simple index shows that the economy has been generally in a slight contractionary phase in recent months, consistent with benign recent official data on the Australian economy.
31-Oct-2011 Economics Research Note - Scrap Metal Prices This Economics Research Note reviews the global market for scrap metal and the sensitivity of scrap metal prices to global economic conditions.
31-Oct-2011 Economics Research Note - Construction and Manufacturing This Economics Research Note examines the interdependence between the Australian manufacturing and construction sectors, and the extent to which this relationship has changed in the period immediately preceding, during, and following the global financial crisis (GFC).
23-May-2011 Economics Research Note - Exchange Rate This Economics Research Note discusses the impact of the appreciating exchange rate on trade exposed industries, particularly manufacturing.
01-Feb-2011 The Predictive Ability of Business Survey Indices This article assesses the predictive ability of the survey-based business performance indices produced by the Australian Industry Group with respect to "official" Australian economic data.
18-Jan-2011 A Coincident Indicator of Economic Activity This Economics Research Notes explores explores some of the issues associated with constructing a coincident indicator of the economy.
09-Dec-2010 Managing Australia's Mining Boom This Economics Research Note examines the role a sovereign wealth fund could play in Australia managing its mining boom and investing to take advantage of the current boom for the long-term prosperity of the economy.
22-Oct-2010 Inventories in the Australian business cycle This Economics Research Note examines the role and impact of inventories in the Australian business cycle.
17-Sep-2010 New Capital Requirements for Banks: Implications for Australian businesses This Economics Research Note analyses the impact of new bank capital requirements on Australian businesses.
05-Aug-2010 Engineering Construction Sector Update This Economics Research Note examines recent trends and prospects for Australia’s engineering construction sector.
13-Jul-2010 Impact of Education Stimulus on Non-Residential Building Sector This Economics Research note examines recent trends in the non-residential building sector and the impact of the Federal Government’s education building program on work levels.
09-Jul-2010 Labour market dynamics in Australia This Economics Research Note examines the behaviour of the Australian labour market over the last thirty years using labour market gross flows data which examines the flows of people between labour market states.
01-Jul-2010 Seasonal Adjustment of Ai Group Performance Indices This Note reviews the seasonal adjustment process for each of the Ai Group performances indices (the Australian PMI®, Australian PSI® and the Australian PCI®).
10-Jun-2010 Granger Causality Tests of Ai Group Performance Indices This Economics Research Note supplements the Ai Group Economics Research Note that assesses the correlations of the Ai Group performance indices with official economic data.
10-Jun-2010 Correlations of Ai Group Performance Indices with Official Economic Data A number of countries use Performance of Manufacturing/Services/Construction indices as indicators to assess the direction and pace of the national economy in a timelier manner than allowed by national statistical agencies’ official data. This Research Note assesses the Australian indices correlation with official data.